3-Ball Matchup Picks
- Cam Smith +140 (2.5 Units) ❌
- Bubba Watson +140 (1 Unit) ✅
- Hideki Matsuyama +185 (1 Unit) ❌
- Danny Willett +240 (1 Unit) ❌
- Stephan Jaeger +230 (1 Unit) ❌
- Keegan Bradley +180 (1 Unit) ❌
2025 NCAA Tournament Breakdown (reverse chronological order):
Sweet Sixteen Day Two Parlay: Auburn -8.5 and Houston -8.5. .5U ❌
| Game | Predicted Spread | ATS Pick | Units | Win/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (2) Michigan State vs. (6) Ole Miss | Michigan State -3.91 | None | N/A | N/A |
| (2) Tennessee vs. (3) Kentucky | Tennessee -2.21 | None | N/A | N/A |
| (1) Auburn vs. (5) Michigan | Auburn -10.73 | Auburn -8.5 | .5U | ✅ |
| (1) Houston vs. (4) Purdue | Houston -10.02 | Houston -8.5 | .5U | ❌ |
| Game | Predicted Spread | Pick ATS | Units | Win/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (2) Alabama vs. (6) BYU | Alabama -5.23 | None | N/A | N/A |
| (1) Florida vs. (4) Maryland | Florida -6.42 | None | N/A | N/A |
| (1) Duke vs. (4) Arizona | Duke -9.31 | None | N/A | N/A |
| (3) Texas Tech vs. (10) Arkansas | Texas Tech -9.06 | TT -5.5 | 3 | ❌ |
Parlay Special of the Second Round Day 2: Florida -8.5 ❌, Duke -11.5 ✅, MSU -7.5 ✅ for a combined odds of +541. 1U ❌.
| Game | Predicted Spread | Pick ATS | Units | Win/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) Florida vs. (8) UConn | Florida -15.14 | Florida -8.5 | 2U | ❌ |
| (1) Duke vs. (9) Baylor | Duke -15.63 | Duke -11.5 | 1.5U | ✅ |
| (3) Kentucky vs. (6) Illinois | Illinois -0.19 | ILL | ILL | 🟧🟦 |
| (2) Alabama vs. (7) Saint Mary’s | Alabama -6.00 | None | N/A | N/A |
| (4) Maryland vs. (12) Colorado State | Maryland -10.02 | Maryland -7.5 | 1U | ❌ |
| (3) Iowa State vs. (6) Ole Miss | Iowa State -5.46 | None | N/A | N/A |
| (2) Michigan State vs. (10) New Mexico | Michigan State -10.50 | MSU -7.5 | 1.5U | ✅ |
| (4) Arizona vs. (5) Oregon | Arizona -4.65 | None | N/A | N/A |
Parlay Special of the Second Round Day One: Purdue -6.5✅, Auburn -9.5✅, Texas Tech -6.5✅ for a combined odds of +605. 1.5U✅ (4U hedge brings total winnings to +5.08U✅)
| Game | Predicted Spread | Pick ATS | Units | Win/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (4) Purdue vs. (12) McNeese | Purdue -10.94 | Purdue -6.5 | 2U | ✅ |
| (2) St. John’s vs. (10) Arkansas | St. John’s -8.08 | None | N/A | N/A |
| (4) Texas A&M vs. (5) Michigan | Texas A&M -1.11 | None | N/A | N/A |
| (3) Texas Tech vs. (11) Drake | Texas Tech -13 | Texas Tech -6.5 | 2.5U | ✅ |
| (1) Auburn vs. (9) Creighton | Auburn -14.90 | Auburn -9.5 | 2U | ✅ |
| (3) Wisconsin vs. (6) BYU | Wisconsin -2.5 | Wisconsin -1.5 | .5U | ❌ |
| (1) Houston vs. (8) Gonzaga | Houston -8.29 | Houston -4.5 | 1.5U | ✅ |
| (2) Tennessee vs. (7) UCLA | Tennessee -5.57 | None | N/A | N/A |
| Game | Predicted Spread | Pick against the spread | Units (Spread) | Win/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creighton vs. Louisville | Louisville -4.1 | None | N/A | N/A |
| High Point vs. Purdue | Purdue -14.5 | Purdue -7.5 | 2U | ✅ |
| Montana vs. Wisconsin | Wisconsin -17.3 | None | N/A | N/A |
| SIU Edwardsville vs. Houston | Houston -25.5 | None | N/A | N/A |
| Alabama State vs. Auburn | Auburn -30 | None | N/A | N/A |
| McNeese vs. Clemson | Clemson -6.6 | None | N/A | N/A |
| VCU vs. BYU | BYU -1.45 | None | N/A | N/A |
| Georgia vs. Gonzaga | Gonzaga -5.4 | None | N/A | N/A |
| Wofford vs. Tennessee | Tennessee -17.4 | None | N/A | N/A |
| Arkansas vs. Kansas | Kansas -3.8 | None | N/A | N/A |
| Yale vs. Texas A&M | Texas A&M -8.55 | TAMU -7.5 | 1U | ✅ |
| Drake vs. Missouri | Missouri -6.5 | None | N/A | N/A |
| Utah State vs. UCLA | UCLA -4.6 | Utah State +5.5 | 1U | ❌ |
| Omaha vs. St. John’s | St. John’s -17.9 | None | N/A; | N/A |
| UC San Diego vs. Michigan | Michigan -2.6 | None | N/A | N/A |
| UNC Wilmington vs. Texas Tech | Texas Tech -15.10 | None | N/A | N/A |
| Baylor vs. Mississippi State | Baylor -1.00 | Baylor +1.5 | 2U | ✅ |
| Robert Morris vs. Alabama | Alabama -19.9 | RMU +22.5 | 1U | ✅ |
| Lipscomb vs. Iowa State | Iowa State -13.5 | Lipscomb +14.5 | 1U | ❌ |
| Colorado State vs. Memphis | CSU -1 | Memphis +1.5 | .5U | ❌ |
| Mount St. Mary’s vs. Duke | Duke -29.5 | Mt. St. Mary’s +32.5 | .5U | ❌ |
| Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary’s | St. Mary’s -4.6 | None | N/A | N/A |
| North Carolina vs. Ole Miss | Ole Miss -1.55 | Ole Miss +1.5 | 1.5U | ✅ |
| Grand Canyon vs. Maryland | Maryland -13.6 | Maryland -10.5 | 1.5U | ✅ |
| Norfolk State vs. Florida | Florida -23.30 | Norfolk St. +28.5 | .5U | ✅ |
| Troy vs. Kentucky | Kentucky -11.7 | None | N/A | N/A |
| New Mexico vs. Marquette | Marquette -3.10 | None | N/A | N/A |
| Akron vs. Arizona | Arizona -13.3 | Akron +14.5 | .5U | ❌ |
| OU vs. Uconn | UConn -0.6 | OU +5.5 | 2.5U | ❌ |
| Illinois vs. Xavier | Illinois -4.5 | ILL | ILL | 🟧🟦 |
| Bryant vs. MSU | MSU -18.6 | MSU -17.5 | .5U | ✅ |
| Liberty vs. Oregon | Oregon -4.2 | Liberty +6.5 | 1U | ❌ |
Parlay Special of the First Round: Baylor ML ✅, Ole Miss ML ✅, Maryland -10.5 ✅ and OU +5.5 ❌ for a combined +1290 odds. 2U. (7.5U Hedge UConn -5.5 brings total winnings to 5.5U✅)
2023 NCAA Tournament Breakdown:
Spread: +6.5U 🤑
ML: +11.169U 🤑
O/U: +3U 🤑
Live Bets: +0.42U🤑
Parlays: -1.5U ☹️
Total Bets Made (W-L): 154 (81-73)
Overall: +19.589U 🤑
Games (in reverse chronological order):
UConn -6.5 (2.5U) ✅
Over 131.5 (1.5U) ✅
UConn – 5.5 (2.5U) ✅
Under 149.5 (2U) ✅
SDSU -2.5 (3U) ❌
Over 130.5 (1U) ✅
Texas -3.5 (2U) ❌
Over 147.5 (.5U) ✅
Creighton -2.5 (1U) ❌
Under 134.5 (1U) ✅
UConn -2.5 (1U) ✅
Over 153.5 (0.5U) ❌
Kansas State -1.5 (1U) ❌
Over 144.5 (0.5U) ✅
Xavier +4.5 (1.5U) ❌
Under 149.5 (.5U) ❌
Princeton +10.5 (1U) ❌
U 140.5 (2U) ❌
Miami +7.5 (1U) ✅
O 138.5 (1U) ✅
Alabama -7.5 (2U) ❌
O 137.5 (.5U) ❌
UCLA -1.5 (1U) ❌
UCLA ML -120 (1U) ❌
Over 145.5 (1U) ✅
Tenn -4.5 (1U) ❌
Tenn ML -235 (1U) ❌
U 129.5 (1U) ✅
UConn -4.5 (1U) ✅
UConn ML -184 (1U) ✅
U 139.5 (1U) ❌
Parlay [MSU ML ❌, UConn ML ✅, Tenn ML]
MSU -1.5 (1U) ❌
MSU ML -126 (1U) ❌
U 137.5 (1U) ❌
Gonzaga -4.5 (2U) ❌ (worst beat in the history of NCAA)
Over 152.5 (1U) ✅
Parlay [Florida Atlantic ML (-1600) ✅, Indiana ML (-137) ❌, Gonzaga ML (-200) ✅]
IU -1.5 (2U) ❌
Over 145.5 (1U) ✅
FAU -15.5 (1U) ❌
Over 145.5 (1U) ✅
Crei -1.5 (2U) ✅
Crei ML -113 (1U) ✅
Over 143.5 (1U) ✅
UConn -3.5 (2U) ✅
UConn ML -184 (1U) ✅
Under 126.5 (1U) ✅
MSU +2.5 (2U) ✅
MSU ML +126 (1U) ✅
Under 138.5 (1U) ✅
Live Hedge: Marquette +5.5 (1U) ❌
UK -2.5 (2U) ❌
UK ML -156 (1U) ❌
Over 142.5 (1U) ✅
Live Hedge KSU ML +142 (1U) ✅
Xavier -4.5 (1U) ✅
Xavier ML -210 (.5U) ✅
Under 149.5 (1U) ❌
Bama -8.5 (2U) ✅
Bama ML -360 (1U) ✅
Over 142.5 (1U) ❌
Texas -5.5 (2U) ❌
Texas ML -235 (1U) ✅
Under 137.5 (1U) ✅
UCLA -7.5 (2U) ❌
UCLA ML -360 (1U) ✅
Under 126.5 (1U) ❌
HOU -5.5 (2U) ✅
HOU ML -230 (1U) ✅
Over 132.5 (1U) ✅
Missouri -6.5 (2U) ❌
Missouri ML -245 (1U) ❌
Over 145.5 (1U) ❌
Kansas -4.5 (1.5U) ❌
Kansas ML -176 (1U) ❌
Over 142.5 (1U) ✅
Tenn +3.5 (2U) ✅
Tenn ML +136 (1U) ✅
Under 125.5 (1U)✅
SDSU -4.5 (1.5U) ✅
SDSU ML -210 (1U) ✅
Over 136.5 (1U) ❌
Purdue -23.5 (2U) ❌
FDU +2000 (0.5U) ✅
U 146.5 (1U) ✅
TCU -4.5 (1.5U) ❌
TCU ML -210 (1U) ✅
U 141.5 (1U) ❌
Indiana -4.5 (2U) ✅
Under 138.5 (1U) ✅
Indiana ML -196 (1U) ✅
Kansas State -7.5 (2U) ✅
Over 139.5 (1U) ✅
Memphis -1.5 (2U) ❌
Memphis ML -113 (1U) ❌
O 151.5 (1U) ❌
Miami -2.5 (2U) ✅
Miami ML -142 (1U) ✅
O 145.5 (1U) ❌
Gonzaga -16.5 (2U) ❌
Grand Canyon +940 (1U) ❌
O 153.5 (1U) ❌
Kentucky -6.5 (2U) ✅
Providence +230 (1U) ❌
O 142.5 (1U) ❌
Connecticut -9.5 (2U) ✅
Iona +350 (1U) ❌
O 140.5 (1U) ✅
Creighton -5.5 (2U) ✅
Creighton ML -225 (1U) ✅
O 148.5 (1U) ❌
Iowa State -4.5 (2U) ❌
Iowa State ML -220 (1U) ❌
O 131.5 (1U) ❌
Marquette -10.5 (2U) ✅
Marquette ML -580 (1U) ✅
O 142.5 (1U) ✅
St. Mary’s -4.5 (2U) ✅
U 123.5 (1U) ✅
Baylor -10.5 (2U) ✅
O 141.5 (1U) ❌
Xavier -11.5 (2U) ❌
Over 152.5 (1U) ❌
MSU -2.5 (1.5U) ✅
USC ML +115 (0.5U) ❌
O 136.5 (1U) ❌
Houston -19.5 (1U) ❌
Over 121.5: (1U) ❌
Tennessee -11.5 (2U) ❌
Over 137.5 (1U) ❌
TAMU -2.5 (2U) ❌
Over 135.5 (1U) ❌
UCLA -17.5 (2U) ✅
Over 136.5 (1U) ✅
Auburn -1.5 (2U) ✅
Auburn ML ✅
O 153.5 ✅
Duke -5.5 ✅
O142.5 ❌
Charleston +5.5 (2U) ❌
Charleston ML (1U) ❌
O 142.5 ❌
Princeton +14.5 ✅
O 153.5 ❌
Mizzou +1.5 (2U) ✅
Mizzou +102 (1U) ✅
O 155.5 ❌
Furman +5.5 (2U) ✅
Furman ML +198 (1U) ✅
U 131.5 (1U) ❌
MD +2.5 (2U) ✅
MD ML +114 (1U) ✅
U 137.5 (1U) ✅